Villena vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 0
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALI
68%
19%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
CTS
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
VIJ
1 - 0
VIL
34%
24%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 0
VIL
48%
23%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
THD
4 - 1
CTS
31%
25%
45%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIJ
0 - 1
THD
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
THD
0 - 1
ALM
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
THD
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 0
THD
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |