Villena vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
34%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NUD
4 - 1
VIL
15%
20%
65%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
NOV
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NUC
5 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
5 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 1
UNI
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
THD
0 - 3
MUR
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
SPO
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |