Villegas vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 3
AGO
14%
22%
64%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
NAX
4 - 0
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
HAR
11%
19%
70%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
ALF
12%
19%
68%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
OYO
2 - 1
CDF
43%
27%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
CDF
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 3
RIV
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AGO
4 - 0
CDF
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 2
NAX
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |