Villegas vs Varea B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 2
VIL
53%
22%
25%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
SPO
91%
6%
2%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
CDA
4 - 5
VIL
9%
14%
78%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
77%
15%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 1
VIL
16%
19%
66%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 0
YAG
56%
20%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
VAR
50%
22%
29%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
CEN
59%
20%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ALD
3 - 2
VAR
67%
17%
16%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
REB
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |