Villegas vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
3 - 0
VIL
48%
25%
26%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 5
CLH
15%
22%
63%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
TED
46%
24%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ANG
2 - 2
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 3
CDF
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARN
74%
17%
10%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
AGO
1 - 0
ARN
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
NAX
11%
21%
68%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
ARN
89%
9%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |