Villefranche vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 0
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
MON
67%
20%
12%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
MOA
0 - 2
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
LPV
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
RAO
2 - 4
VIL
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2016 |
ETG
4 - 1
NÎM
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
ETG
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 2
ETG
35%
29%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 1
LHA
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
STL
2 - 1
ETG
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |