Villarreal vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
73.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LEV
1 - 0
VIL
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
GET
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ZAR
2 - 1
VIL
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MLL
4 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RMA
1 - 1
MAL
93%
5%
2%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
RMA
4 - 1
CSK
92%
6%
2%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BET
2 - 3
RMA
8%
18%
74%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RMA
5 - 0
ESP
94%
5%
1%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 1
RMA
8%
17%
76%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | 0 |