Villarreal vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 0
VIL
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MLL
0 - 0
VIL
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
FCP
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
GET
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
FCP
5 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2011 |
RMA
4 - 0
GET
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 6
RMA
25%
24%
51%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
FCB
1 - 1
RMA
61%
21%
19%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
RMA
2 - 3
ZAR
89%
9%
3%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
RMA
0 - 2
FCB
50%
22%
28%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | 0 |