Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 2-1
Villarreal vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1993 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
49%
28%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1993 |
VIL
2 - 1
VAD
34%
31%
36%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
RJA
1 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ATH
2 - 2
VIL
55%
26%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 0
VIL
37%
31%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1993 |
RJA
2 - 1
XER
49%
28%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1993 |
POL
1 - 0
RJA
33%
32%
35%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1993 |
RJA
1 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
RJA
2 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1993 |
REC
1 - 1
RJA
51%
28%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |