Tercera Division G9 Round 1

Villarreal vs Alginet analysis

Villarreal Alginet
42 ELO 38
-21.8% Tilt 2.8%
21º General ELO ranking 16002º
Country ELO ranking 4065º
ELO win probability
70.7%
Villarreal
16.7%
Draw
12.6%
Alginet

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
Villarreal
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.6%
Win probability
Alginet
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Villarreal
+4%
+109%
Alginet

ELO progression

Villarreal
Alginet
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Villarreal
Villarreal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 1959
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 1
Olimpic Xátiva
OLI
52%
23%
26%
43 48 5 0
12 Apr. 1959
VIL
Villarreal
3 - 0
Alcoyano
ALC
70%
18%
12%
42 37 5 +1
12 Apr. 1959
VAL
Valencia Mestalla
4 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
82%
11%
7%
43 53 10 -1
05 Apr. 1959
ALG
Alginet
3 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
44%
22%
34%
45 32 13 -2
29 Mar. 1959
VIL
Villarreal
5 - 2
At. Saguntino
SAG
81%
12%
6%
45 30 15 0

Matches

Alginet
Alginet
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 1959
ALG
Alginet
3 - 2
Valencia Mestalla
VAL
43%
23%
34%
37 54 17 0
12 Apr. 1959
ALC
Alcoyano
1 - 1
Alginet
ALG
68%
17%
15%
37 37 0 0
12 Apr. 1959
ALG
Alginet
3 - 0
At. Saguntino
SAG
77%
13%
10%
37 30 7 0
05 Apr. 1959
ALG
Alginet
3 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
44%
22%
34%
32 45 13 +5
29 Mar. 1959
ALZ
UD Alzira
3 - 0
Alginet
ALG
62%
19%
19%
34 32 2 -2