Villarcayo Nela vs Casco Viejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 3
VIL
31%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
MON
0 - 5
VIL
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 1
INT
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FEL
0 - 3
VIL
18%
20%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
ALF
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Casco Viejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
8 - 2
ALF
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FRI
0 - 1
CAS
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 1
CAS
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |