Villafranca vs CD Diocesano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ADL
1 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
MOR
16%
23%
61%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 5
AZU
39%
27%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
49%
25%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRU
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
AZU
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 3
CDD
27%
25%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 1
TRU
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 4
CDD
27%
25%
48%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 0
EMD
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |