Villa San Carlos vs CA San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SAC
3 - 2
VSC
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2007 |
VSC
0 - 0
CAÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
VSC
2 - 1
ARR
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
LAM
2 - 0
VSC
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
VSC
0 - 2
COL
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CA San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
SMG
1 - 1
LAM
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SMG
1 - 2
ITU
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
DOC
0 - 1
SMG
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
SMG
0 - 0
LAF
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
SBA
2 - 1
SMG
50%
25%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |