Villa San Carlos vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
EXC
6 - 2
VSC
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
VSC
0 - 0
DOC
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 3
VSC
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
VSC
0 - 2
ACA
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SMG
2 - 1
VSC
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
LUJ
3 - 1
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
SAC
1 - 1
LUJ
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
LUJ
2 - 1
FEN
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ARR
0 - 1
LUJ
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
LUJ
3 - 2
SBA
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |