Villa San Carlos vs Dep. Armenio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
COL
0 - 1
VSC
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
VSC
0 - 0
FLA
55%
25%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BRO
0 - 1
VSC
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
VSC
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
VSC
0 - 2
CHA
39%
30%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Armenio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
TEM
42%
29%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
COL
1 - 1
ARM
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 1
ARM
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 0
BRO
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
ARM
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |