Villa San Carlos vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ARQ
0 - 0
VSC
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VSC
3 - 0
ACA
29%
30%
41%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
VSC
2 - 1
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COM
0 - 1
VSC
62%
24%
15%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VSC
1 - 2
SMG
39%
28%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SMG
1 - 1
CAD
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAD
0 - 2
JJU
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
AND
1 - 0
CAD
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 1
FLA
45%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |