Villa San Carlos vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SUA
2 - 0
VSC
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
VSC
1 - 3
EST
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 0
VSC
84%
13%
4%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
VSC
0 - 2
STM
41%
28%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 0
VSC
56%
26%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
UAI
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
FEN
2 - 3
BAR
42%
27%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
FEN
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |