Villa Nova vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
BET
1 - 1
VIL
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
1 - 4
IFC
58%
21%
22%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATM
11%
23%
66%
|
50 | 87 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ATH
6 - 1
VIL
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AMF
2 - 0
VIL
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TOM
1 - 0
AMF
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
TOM
1 - 0
AYM
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ATH
3 - 1
TOM
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TOM
1 - 1
POA
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DEM
0 - 1
TOM
15%
21%
64%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |