Villa Nova vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
DUQ
5 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
49%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 2
VIL
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
5 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
TOM
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
JUV
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 3
GUA
54%
25%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 2
TOM
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
TOM
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |