Villa Nova vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
VOL
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -3 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
SEC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 1
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
ANA
6 - 1
TOC
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GAM
0 - 1
ANA
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ANA
2 - 1
TUP
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
ITU
1 - 0
ANA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |