Villa CD vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
YUN
0 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 3
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
AAL
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
QUI
2 - 2
VIL
54%
24%
23%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
ADS
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
0 - 2
CAB
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AAL
1 - 0
HAL
74%
17%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 3
MAD
20%
23%
57%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
ALC
14%
19%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ORG
2 - 0
HAL
49%
23%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |