Vilhena vs Espigão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilhena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2010 |
ATP
4 - 0
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 80 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATP
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 80 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIL
4 - 1
GEN
52%
22%
26%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
ROL
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 0
ESP
58%
21%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 2
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 2
ESP
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 1
SHA
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
JAR
2 - 1
ESP
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |