Vilches vs Real Jaén B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LIN
0 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
14%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
5 - 0
MOG
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CDV
9 - 5
VIL
12%
19%
69%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
5 - 2
LAG
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDT
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
RJA
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
6 - 0
JOD
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDR
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
LIN
3 - 0
RJA
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |