Vilches vs UD Cazorla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
URG
61%
21%
19%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
1 - 2
VIL
40%
26%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
BEG
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
FSV
1 - 2
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
BET
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD Cazorla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 6
LCA
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BEG
2 - 1
CAZ
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 2
BET
33%
25%
43%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
CAZ
49%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CDR
30%
26%
44%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |