Vilches vs C.D. Útica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CDR
0 - 1
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BAI
2 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
5 - 1
FSV
58%
21%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
QUE
2 - 2
VIL
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Útica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CDU
2 - 1
BEA
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ORC
1 - 5
CDU
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
CDU
1 - 1
LIN
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 0
CDU
42%
23%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CDU
1 - 1
VIL
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |