CD Vilches vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FUE
3 - 0
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
CDT
26%
21%
53%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
VIL
82%
11%
7%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ADL
1 - 1
VIL
35%
23%
43%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
LAG
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
CDH
12%
17%
71%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
CDA
22%
21%
57%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
UDG
38%
24%
38%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CPH
0 - 1
CAR
53%
23%
25%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |