ENH Vilankulo vs Ferroviário Nampula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ENH Vilankulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
VIL
57%
27%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
FER
33%
31%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
VIL
38%
32%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
DES
37%
31%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
VIL
58%
26%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário Nampula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
VIL
57%
27%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DMA
0 - 2
FER
25%
30%
45%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
QUE
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NIA
0 - 3
FER
21%
31%
48%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
LIG
42%
30%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |