Vilafranquense vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAF
17%
25%
58%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 0
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
GDA
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
VIL
43%
24%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 0
VIL
73%
17%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TOR
0 - 0
PRA
27%
25%
47%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
TOR
55%
26%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
TOR
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
LUS
74%
18%
8%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
ACV
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +3 |