Vilafranquense vs Alcains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.9%
2-0
19%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.8%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
IRI
0 - 0
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
LOU
0 - 1
VIL
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAC
87%
11%
3%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIL
10%
22%
69%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Alcains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
TOR
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SIN
1 - 1
ALC
90%
8%
3%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 0
ALC
90%
9%
2%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 2
IRI
14%
18%
69%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |