Vilafranca vs Montaura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
POR
3 - 3
VIL
49%
21%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 2
PCR
42%
22%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SVE
5 - 2
VIL
81%
11%
7%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 3
BSF
27%
22%
51%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SVA
2 - 3
VIL
49%
20%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Montaura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
STM
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
MON
31%
22%
47%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MON
0 - 1
EST
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LLU
2 - 0
MON
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MON
5 - 1
SCA
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |