Vilada vs Calders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+202%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
MON
4 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
12%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
OLV
26%
20%
54%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
VIL
41%
20%
39%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
4 - 0
SUR
42%
21%
37%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 5
PUI
32%
20%
49%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Calders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
GIR
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 1
CAL
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
AVI
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
CAL
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |