Vila Real vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 5
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 3
CAS
13%
21%
66%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GON
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
MON
50%
21%
28%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
AMA
0 - 0
SAL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
3 - 0
COI
59%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
GON
3 - 0
AMA
40%
26%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PED
2 - 1
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |