Mineiro 1 Trofeu Inconfidencia Final
Global 3-5
Vila Nova vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
CUI
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
DEM
65%
23%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
CUI
22%
27%
51%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 2
VIL
18%
25%
57%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 1
VIL
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 0
POA
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
POA
2 - 2
TOM
29%
25%
46%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
RFC
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AMF
3 - 1
TOM
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |