Goiano 1 round 18

Vila Nova vs Rio Verde GO analysis

Vila Nova Rio Verde GO
54 ELO 50
2.8% Tilt 8.2%
427º General ELO ranking 7033º
31º Country ELO ranking 310º
ELO win probability
51.4%
Vila Nova
22.7%
Draw
25.9%
Rio Verde GO

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
Vila Nova
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.9%
Win probability
Rio Verde GO
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vila Nova
-11%
+27%
Rio Verde GO

ELO progression

Vila Nova
Rio Verde GO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vila Nova
Vila Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2013
CRA
CRAC
3 - 2
Vila Nova
VIL
40%
24%
36%
54 52 2 0
07 Apr. 2013
GOI
Goianésia
3 - 2
Vila Nova
VIL
36%
24%
39%
55 53 2 -1
31 Mar. 2013
VIL
Vila Nova
2 - 2
Anápolis
ANA
52%
23%
25%
55 53 2 0
28 Mar. 2013
APA
Aparecidense
5 - 0
Vila Nova
VIL
37%
25%
39%
56 52 4 -1
23 Mar. 2013
ATL
Atlético GO
4 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
71%
17%
11%
57 72 15 -1

Matches

Rio Verde GO
Rio Verde GO
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2013
RIO
Rio Verde GO
1 - 1
Aparecidense
APA
39%
24%
37%
51 53 2 0
07 Apr. 2013
RIO
Rio Verde GO
3 - 0
Itumbiara
ITU
52%
23%
25%
51 48 3 0
02 Apr. 2013
ATL
Atlético GO
4 - 1
Rio Verde GO
RIO
83%
12%
5%
51 73 22 0
28 Mar. 2013
RIO
Rio Verde GO
1 - 1
Gremio Anapolis
GRE
40%
25%
35%
51 54 3 0
24 Mar. 2013
CRA
CRAC
2 - 1
Rio Verde GO
RIO
38%
24%
38%
52 48 4 -1