Vila Nova vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
GOI
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRE
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 5
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 3
APA
40%
25%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
ITU
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
APA
3 - 0
ITU
44%
24%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 5
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
ANA
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |