Vila Nova vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
7 - 0
AQU
76%
18%
7%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 1
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
AQU
0 - 1
VIL
8%
20%
73%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 3
VIL
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 0
RVV
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
VAS
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
GUA
38%
28%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
CON
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 0
LON
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |