Vila Nova vs Gremio Anapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 0
IPO
72%
20%
9%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
18%
26%
56%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 1
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
15%
23%
62%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Gremio Anapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
5 - 2
INH
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 0
GRE
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
APA
17%
24%
60%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |