Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Vila Nova vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAL
80%
15%
5%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
REM
2 - 3
VIL
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
6 - 0
GOI
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 1
REM
44%
29%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
CRB
4 - 1
CUI
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
2 - 1
APA
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
CUI
1 - 3
SAM
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
CUI
27%
30%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |