Vila Nova vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 2
VIL
27%
31%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
REM
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIL
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
OPE
35%
33%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GOI
1 - 2
VIL
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 2
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
2 - 0
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRB
0 - 0
CSA
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 3
CRB
37%
27%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CRB
1 - 2
AVA
44%
28%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |