Vila Nova vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
VAS
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
VIL
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAH
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
3 - 0
CAM
84%
11%
4%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 0
JUV
20%
26%
55%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
ARN
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
CAM
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |