Série B Brazil . Jor. 13

Vila Nova vs Campinense analysis

Vila Nova Campinense
59 ELO 47
6.9% Tilt 2.8%
438º General ELO ranking 3653º
31º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
66.7%
Vila Nova
20%
Draw
13.4%
Campinense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
Vila Nova
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
Campinense
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vila Nova
-11%
-7%
Campinense

ELO progression

Vila Nova
Campinense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vila Nova
Vila Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2009
FFL
Figueirense
3 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
75%
16%
9%
59 76 17 0
15 Jul. 2009
VIL
Vila Nova
0 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
18%
23%
59%
59 82 23 0
11 Jul. 2009
BRA
RB Bragantino
2 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
59%
22%
18%
60 65 5 -1
04 Jul. 2009
VIL
Vila Nova
0 - 0
Guaraní
GUA
55%
24%
22%
60 58 2 0
27 Jun. 2009
JUV
EC Juventude
1 - 1
Vila Nova
VIL
57%
24%
20%
60 66 6 0

Matches

Campinense
Campinense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2009
CAM
Campinense
1 - 2
Bahía
BAH
20%
25%
55%
47 64 17 0
15 Jul. 2009
PPE
Ponte Preta
3 - 0
Campinense
CAM
84%
11%
4%
48 72 24 -1
08 Jul. 2009
CAM
Campinense
1 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
20%
26%
55%
47 65 18 +1
04 Jul. 2009
CAM
Campinense
0 - 1
América RN
ARN
28%
27%
45%
47 59 12 0
28 Jun. 2009
CEA
Ceará
2 - 0
Campinense
CAM
74%
17%
9%
48 62 14 -1
X