Vila Nova vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
VIL
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 0
BOA
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
LON
0 - 1
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 1
VIL
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 3
SCI
15%
27%
58%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 0
ABC
62%
24%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ABC
0 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
OES
1 - 1
ABC
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
ABC
1 - 0
BRA
40%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |