Vila Meã vs Alpendorada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+124%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
REB
1 - 0
VIL
55%
22%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GRI
2 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 4
SPO
58%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alpendorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALP
1 - 2
CES
14%
20%
66%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
3 - 0
ALP
80%
14%
7%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ALP
0 - 3
REB
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALP
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALP
0 - 1
GRI
23%
23%
53%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |