Vila Flor vs Africanos Bragança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+109%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Flor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALF
1 - 3
VFL
9%
16%
75%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VFL
5 - 0
SCV
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VFL
1 - 0
SEN
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REB
1 - 0
VFL
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VFL
0 - 3
ARG
29%
23%
49%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Africanos Bragança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ABR
1 - 1
BRA
44%
23%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
ABR
58%
20%
22%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIN
2 - 2
ABR
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ABR
0 - 1
AGU
14%
18%
68%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 2
ABR
74%
16%
11%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |