Vila Aurora vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
49.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RON
0 - 0
VIL
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
PRI
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
URO
1 - 2
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
URO
2 - 1
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
RON
2 - 2
URO
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
URO
3 - 2
PRI
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 21 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
URO
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
URO
2 - 3
RON
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |