Vila Aurora vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
OPE
25%
23%
51%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
OPE
2 - 2
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2005 |
URO
1 - 2
VIL
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
OPE
22%
22%
56%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
LUV
5 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 0
LUV
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LUV
2 - 2
VIL
59%
21%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
LUV
1 - 1
CUI
41%
24%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
TAN
2 - 1
LUV
11%
16%
73%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |