Viktoria Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
VIK
0 - 3
DIE
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
LIP
1 - 1
VIK
20%
22%
58%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
VIK
1 - 2
VER
64%
19%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
KÖL
4 - 2
VIK
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 1
S04
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
1 - 0
BOC
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 3
ROT
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 1
SPO
25%
27%
48%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
DIE
1 - 1
ROT
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ROT
1 - 1
LIP
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |