Regionalliga Bayern Round 32

Viktoria Aschaffenburg vs Nürnberg II analysis

Viktoria Aschaffenburg Nürnberg II
42 ELO 50
12.1% Tilt 15.2%
3912º General ELO ranking 2314º
171º Country ELO ranking 104º
ELO win probability
28.4%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
25.1%
Draw
46.5%
Nürnberg II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.5%
Win probability
Nürnberg II
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
-16%
+6%
Nürnberg II

ELO progression

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Nürnberg II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2016
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
2 - 0
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
55%
22%
23%
40 45 5 0
23 Apr. 2016
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0 - 1
Memmingen
MEM
52%
23%
25%
41 41 0 -1
15 Apr. 2016
BAY
Bayern München II
1 - 1
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
55%
23%
22%
41 49 8 0
09 Apr. 2016
VIK
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
3 - 1
Schalding-Heining
SCH
58%
22%
21%
41 39 2 0
02 Apr. 2016
WAC
SV Wacker Burghausen
0 - 3
Viktoria Aschaffenburg
VIK
67%
20%
13%
38 52 14 +3

Matches

Nürnberg II
Nürnberg II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2016
UNT
Unterhaching
1 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
60%
22%
18%
51 55 4 0
25 Apr. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
3 - 1
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
56%
23%
21%
50 46 4 +1
15 Apr. 2016
MEM
Memmingen
0 - 1
Nürnberg II
NUR
28%
26%
46%
51 44 7 -1
11 Apr. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg II
1 - 0
Bayern München II
BAY
44%
25%
32%
50 50 0 +1
02 Apr. 2016
SCH
Schalding-Heining
1 - 0
Nürnberg II
NUR
19%
23%
58%
51 35 16 -1