Viktoria Plzeň II vs Chomutov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
9º
2º
16
6º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 63 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 59 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 49 |
4º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 42 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 40 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 40 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
11º
|
35.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 27 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
19% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
81% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VPZ
2 - 1
JIS
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STC
1 - 3
VPZ
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 2
VPZ
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VPZ
3 - 0
ADM
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
FKD
2 - 0
VPZ
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chomutov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
HOS
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
5 - 1
CHO
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 4
FKD
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
2 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
CHO
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |