First Vienna vs Wiener Neustadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
VIE
1 - 3
FAC
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
VIE
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
VIE
1 - 1
SCH
65%
20%
14%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
RAP
0 - 2
VIE
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
VIE
3 - 1
DON
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wiener Neustadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
WIE
0 - 1
ALT
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
RAP
0 - 0
WIE
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
WIE
2 - 0
WOL
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AWM
0 - 0
WIE
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
WIE
2 - 4
GRO
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |