Vicenza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIC
54%
27%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
VIC
2 - 1
FCC
60%
26%
14%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
CAT
0 - 0
VIC
38%
32%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
VIC
0 - 0
PIA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
PES
1 - 0
VIC
42%
30%
28%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
TAR
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
BRE
1 - 2
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
ATL
46%
30%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1976 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1976 |
MOD
1 - 0
FCC
40%
33%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |